Japan Economy Watch

Signal Vs. Noise On JGBs And Yen

Did A Takaichi “Fiscal Shock” Really Cause JGB Yield Rise

Jul 10, 2026
∙ Paid

Source: https://www.yahoo.com/entertainment/neil-degrasse-tyson-uses-dog-prove-climate-change-133600780.html Minute: 102-124

Key Points:

  • Signal vs. noise in JGB and yen markets

  • Some market players and policymakers see bond market revolting against Takaichi’s expansionary fiscal program via rate hikes

  • Is it true?

  • Varying explanations for JGBs moves

  • Market sees yen moving to ¥165 even if it’s undervalued

  • Contesting models to forecast the yen

The memo below is available only to paid subscribers. Free subscribers can get instant access to the full text of this and all future Memos by subscribing for $50 per year. If you only want this Memo, you can subscribe for a month for $5, get the Memo, and then cancel. You will also receive any other memos I put out over the coming 30 days. Journalists desiring to cite this piece can write to me at rbkatz@rbkatz.com to obtain the full text. Free subscribers will continue to get the full text of my regular Posts.

This post is for paid subscribers

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2026 Richard Katz · Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start your SubstackGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture